Lucas' Locks: Week 11 NFL Picks
- Lucas Jay Ferreira
- Nov 19, 2023
- 2 min read
Updated: Nov 23, 2023
Last Week's Record: 7-4-1 ATS
Locks: 1-1-1
With 80 total wins through 10 weeks of NFL picks I continue to roll. I'm still working on getting my entire catalog of picks out there as proof. Top of my pool, and I'm hoping to get you to the top of yours as well! Let's stay hot!
Jaguars -6.5 vs Titans
I picked against the Jags last week. I'm taking them this week. In case you weren't aware of what N-F-L stands for it is, NOT FOR LONG. It's a new week. The Jags need to respond. They got flat out embarrassed by the 49ers. Will Levis was under extreme pressure in the Titans' embarrassing loss to the Bucs a week ago getting sacked 4 times. I expect more of the same this week. Josh Allen has been a FORCE for the Jags. Their pass rush will make life tough for the rookie QB. Lawrence has underwhelmed this season statistically. This is a game where he could find himself as a game manager. I still like him to throw for at least 3 scores though. Jaguars -6.5. Hammer it!
Cowboys -10.5 @ Panthers
In the past America's team has played down to bad competition and played up to good competition. Outside of the upset they suffered against the Cardinals earlier this season they've turned that around. Their 2 losses outside of Arizona have been to Philly and the 49ers. In every win they've also covered the spread. 6-1 ATS as favorites this year as well. Dak has been having a better year than most would like to admit. CeeDee Lamb has gone ballistic this year. Over 150 yards in 3 straight games and over 100 yards for 4. 975 yards is good for 3rd in the NFL. I know double digits on the road is tough to give away. I still like the Cowboys though. I'll give the Panthers 10.5 points, lock in America's team!
Chiefs -2.5 vs Eagles
The Super Bowl rematch we've all been waiting for! So many questions in this one. Will Taylor Swift rep Philly or KC? Will their parents like each other? Oh, and who wins? Who covers? This is a new Chiefs team. They play differently, they win differently. That's just fine. One of the top defensive squads in the league led by the best QB. Enough said right there. You factor in that Andy Reid is 21-3 the week following the bye in his career. I really like the 2.5. The Chiefs are undefeated with Swift in attendance. Super Bowl winners are 6-2 in rematches the following year. Finally, the Chiefs at home are 4-0 ATS. -2.5 might even be too easy.
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